The Tools of Excellence

Number 54: The Go Bag

A go bag-also called a bug-out bag or emergency kit-is a packed bag (back or cargo) containing everything you’d need to survive 72 hours if you had to leave home immediately: natural disaster, building evacuation, sudden displacement… You grab one bag and go.

What does it contain? Here is a suggested list for one person. • Water: four litres of water plus water purification tablets to extend the supply beyond what you can carry. • Food: 72 hours of non-perishable, ready-to-eat items such as energy bars, nuts, dried fruit, jerky, tinned food with ring-pull lids. Include a spoon. • Clothing: spare socks and a lightweight, waterproof jacket; a warm layer (fleece or thermal); a hat and gloves. Choose layers that work together and assume extremes of heat, cold and wet. • Light & Power: torch or headlamp (headlamp leaves hands free), spare batteries, charged power bank, phone charging cable. • First Aid: plasters, bandages, antiseptic wipes, painkillers, blister plasters, tweezers. • Tools: small multi-tool, duct tape, lighter AND waterproof matches, whistle, pen and small notebook. • Hygiene: wet wipes (multipurpose), toothbrush and small toothpaste, hand sanitiser, tissues, travel soap or biodegradable wipes. • Documents: photocopies (not originals) of ID/passport, emergency contact list, medical information (allergies, conditions, medications). • Cash: a small amount of cash in mixed denominations. • Shelter & Comfort: foil blanket, compact poncho, small tarp or survival bivvy bag. • Safety & Communication: small radio (wind-up preferred as no battery dependence), high-visibility tab or strap, basic dust masks, lighter, candle, and key phone numbers written on waterproof card.

Build your go bag once, check it twice yearly (replace expired food, update documents, refresh batteries). Store it accessibly-under the bed, in a hall cupboard, in the car boot-somewhere you can grab it in the dark or during chaos. Mine is in a cupboard near the main door.

This is not prepper paranoia, it’s preparedness. Natural disasters, fires, floods, and unexpected evacuations happen. Those of us in europe have discovered extensive fires and floods are now regular events. Having your go bag ready means you can leave at once with essentials secured, rather than panicking about what to grab while smoke alarms sound.

One bag. Three days of independence. Complete preparedness. That is security you can carry.

The other 69 Tools of Excellence are here.

In The Pipeline

Pierre Lambert 2 (working title) progresses nicely. Two in the non-fiction companion series are close to completion. Working on paper editions for all the publications as this is frequently requested especially for the novels.

Lucky Patrick

is heading to Greece and the islands. I have many happy memories of Athens and the islands. Read more here.

J F Roxburgh

the first headmaster of Stowe once said a well-rounded person is someone who is ‘acceptable at a dance and invaluable in a shipwreck’.

Stop Press

Both books mentioned below are free for 72h thanks to the nice people at Kindle. Free. Worldwide. 72h.

On Writing

Writing as Excavation

E.L. Doctorow said that ‘writing a novel is like driving a car at night. You can see only as far as your headlights, but you can make the whole trip that way.’ This metaphor captures something essential about the creative process that many overlook: writing is not about executing a plan; it is about discovering what you are trying to say.

Most writers know this quietly but need permission to trust it. Stories are not built so much as uncovered. You do not start with a complete blueprint. You start with a situation, or a character, or a question, and you write to find out what happens.

For me, I have an idea which grows and develops until I feel I have a book (if not a book, then maybe a short story). I start to write. I write daily. I chase quantity and then edit for quality. Characters appear from nowhere.

This can feel terrifying to new writers who perhaps think they should know everything before they begin. They ask: how can I start if I don’t know where I’m going? The answer is: you start anyway, and the act of writing reveals the destination.

Go write.

Are We Worrying Too Much About AI? 2

I think AI does fall into the historical pattern we discussed yesterday, but with important caveats:

Like Past Patterns: The apocalyptic rhetoric, the focus on job displacement, the fears about human agency, the belief that “this changes everything”, these echo precisely what people said about electricity, printing, and industrialisation.

Genuinely Different: But the speed, scope, and cognitive nature of AI do represent something novel. The historical pattern doesn’t guarantee a benign outcome; it just suggests our tendency toward panic often exceeds the actual risk.

The Real Challenge: I suspect the biggest risks aren’t the sci-fi scenarios people focus on, but the mundane ones: economic disruption happening faster than adaptation, concentration of power in a few hands, and making decisions about AI while in the grip of panic.

I hope that we can prepare for genuine risks while resisting the urge toward panic that has characterised every previous technological revolution.

Meanwhile read this. It is well worth your time investment.

The 2028 Global Intelligence Crisis.

Are We Worrying Too Much About AI?

In 370 BC, Socrates worried that writing would weaken memory and allow ‘the pretence of understanding, rather than true understanding’

In the 1440s, the printing press faced violent opposition: scribes' guilds destroyed machines and chased book merchants out of towns, fearing job losses and the spread of dangerous ideas.

In the 1850s, people thought the telephone would cause deafness, and that railway travel was so dangerous that a school board condemned trains as ‘a device of Satan to lead immortal souls to hell’

In the Early 1900s, the sewing machine sparked fears that women’s economic independence would disrupt family structures and society.

Is AI just another one on the list? Or is it different?

TBC.

Love a List

What is it about The List?

We grab paper and pen, or an iPad and start typing, and suddenly all is well. Like many, I love a good list.

The power of the list, I would argue, lies in two extraordinary benefits:

First, it succinctly directs our mind to what needs attention. When everything is swirling in your head, nothing has priority. The moment you write it down, hierarchy appears; some things matter more; some things can wait. The list makes this explicit.

Second, it off-loads the storage of such data. Your brain is not so good at remembering large numbers of things but-if there is structure-is excellent at processing them. Let the paper (or screen) hold the information. Let your mind do the thinking and deciding.